DFG-Risiko
Analysis of future grid loads under consideration of uncertainties for application in risk-based grid design
The integration of renewable energy systems , the simultaneous reduction of conventional power plants, the increase in load due to sector coupling and the liberalization of the energy markets result in significant uncertainties in the future electrical energy system and therefore in the load on the electrical energy networks. The uncertainties currently existing can be classified into two levels. First, they concern the future design or development of generation, consisting of conventional power plants and regenerative sources, and the loads (stage one). Here, the uncertainty relates both to the amount of installed capacity depending on the energy source and to the local allocation influenced by the economic efficiency of existing power plants, raw material price developments, area potentials and sector coupling. Secondly, there are a number of new uncertainties for each generation park design when operations are taken into account (level two). These include, for example, CO2 certificate prices, market designs, weather conditions, uncertainties regarding developments in neighbouring European countries and the design of operational options such as redispatch, regulation concepts and flexibility.
Due to long horizons for planning power lines and cables, investment decisions for grid expansion have to be made under these uncertain future developments. In order to ensure a reliable and secure energy network in the future, it is necessary to model and consider these uncertainties entirely and adequately in the decision-making process. This requires a detailed mathematical-statistical analysis and quantification of the uncertainties including their correlations. Based on this, the effects on the load flow have to be determined with methods of probabilistic load flow calculation (prob. LF). Subsequently, the results serve to be used for grid planning and to make a methodologically substantiated decision under uncertainty.
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Location & approach
The campus of TU Dortmund University is located close to interstate junction Dortmund West, where the Sauerlandlinie A 45 (Frankfurt-Dortmund) crosses the Ruhrschnellweg B 1 / A 40. The best interstate exit to take from A 45 is "Dortmund-Eichlinghofen" (closer to Campus Süd), and from B 1 / A 40 "Dortmund-Dorstfeld" (closer to Campus Nord). Signs for the university are located at both exits. Also, there is a new exit before you pass over the B 1-bridge leading into Dortmund.
To get from Campus Nord to Campus Süd by car, there is the connection via Vogelpothsweg/Baroper Straße. We recommend you leave your car on one of the parking lots at Campus Nord and use the H-Bahn (suspended monorail system), which conveniently connects the two campuses.
TU Dortmund University has its own train station ("Dortmund Universität"). From there, suburban trains (S-Bahn) leave for Dortmund main station ("Dortmund Hauptbahnhof") and Düsseldorf main station via the "Düsseldorf Airport Train Station" (take S-Bahn number 1, which leaves every 20 or 30 minutes). The university is easily reached from Bochum, Essen, Mülheim an der Ruhr and Duisburg.
You can also take the bus or subway train from Dortmund city to the university: From Dortmund main station, you can take any train bound for the Station "Stadtgarten", usually lines U41, U45, U 47 and U49. At "Stadtgarten" you switch trains and get on line U42 towards "Hombruch". Look out for the Station "An der Palmweide". From the bus stop just across the road, busses bound for TU Dortmund University leave every ten minutes (445, 447 and 462). Another option is to take the subway routes U41, U45, U47 and U49 from Dortmund main station to the stop "Dortmund Kampstraße". From there, take U43 or U44 to the stop "Dortmund Wittener Straße". Switch to bus line 447 and get off at "Dortmund Universität S".
The AirportExpress is a fast and convenient means of transport from Dortmund Airport (DTM) to Dortmund Central Station, taking you there in little more than 20 minutes. From Dortmund Central Station, you can continue to the university campus by interurban railway (S-Bahn). A larger range of international flight connections is offered at Düsseldorf Airport (DUS), which is about 60 kilometres away and can be directly reached by S-Bahn from the university station.
The H-Bahn is one of the hallmarks of TU Dortmund University. There are two stations on Campus Nord. One ("Dortmund Universität S") is directly located at the suburban train stop, which connects the university directly with the city of Dortmund and the rest of the Ruhr Area. Also from this station, there are connections to the "Technologiepark" and (via Campus Süd) Eichlinghofen. The other station is located at the dining hall at Campus Nord and offers a direct connection to Campus Süd every five minutes.
The facilities of TU Dortmund University are spread over two campuses, the larger Campus North and the smaller Campus South. Additionally, some areas of the university are located in the adjacent "Technologiepark".
Site Map of TU Dortmund University (Second Page in English)